Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall between 19–21°C under mostly clear, northerly flow with highs near 29–30°C. This consensus supports the closely matched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh small run-to-run variations in boundary-layer cooling and wind speed against historical early-September averages near 18–20°C. Uncertainty persists over exact nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts, keeping warmer (26°C+) and cooler (16°C or below) outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 1 de septiembre?
26°C or higher 54%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
41%
17°C
21%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
54%
26°C or higher 54%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall between 19–21°C under mostly clear, northerly flow with highs near 29–30°C. This consensus supports the closely matched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh small run-to-run variations in boundary-layer cooling and wind speed against historical early-September averages near 18–20°C. Uncertainty persists over exact nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts, keeping warmer (26°C+) and cooler (16°C or below) outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall between 19–21°C under mostly clear, northerly flow with highs near 29–30°C. This consensus supports the closely matched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh small run-to-run variations in boundary-layer cooling and wind speed against historical early-September averages near 18–20°C. Uncertainty persists over exact nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts, keeping warmer (26°C+) and cooler (16°C or below) outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall between 19–21°C under mostly clear, northerly flow with highs near 29–30°C. This consensus supports the closely matched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh small run-to-run variations in boundary-layer cooling and wind speed against historical early-September averages near 18–20°C. Uncertainty persists over exact nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts, keeping warmer (26°C+) and cooler (16°C or below) outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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