Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Jeddah on August 30 near 30–32°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent summer conditions over the Red Sea—warm sea surface temperatures near 32°C, high humidity exceeding 60%, and light variable winds—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal norms of roughly 28–30°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support this consensus, with only modest model spread from subtle differences in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weight official station data from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport most heavily, with final resolution depending on the lowest hourly reading recorded through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Jeddah el 30 de agosto?
32°C 50%
27°C 49%
34°C 49%
31°C 27%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
49%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
1%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 50%
27°C 49%
34°C 49%
31°C 27%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
49%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
1%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Jeddah on August 30 near 30–32°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent summer conditions over the Red Sea—warm sea surface temperatures near 32°C, high humidity exceeding 60%, and light variable winds—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated above seasonal norms of roughly 28–30°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support this consensus, with only modest model spread from subtle differences in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weight official station data from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport most heavily, with final resolution depending on the lowest hourly reading recorded through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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