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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?

¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?

¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?

22°C or below 98%

32°C or higher 98%

23°C 49%

24°C 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

22°C or below 98%

32°C or higher 98%

23°C 49%

24°C 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

22°C or below

$0 Vol.

98%

23°C

$0 Vol.

49%

24°C

$0 Vol.

49%

25°C

$0 Vol.

49%

26°C

$0 Vol.

26%

27°C

$0 Vol.

26%

28°C

$0 Vol.

49%

29°C

$0 Vol.

49%

30°C

$0 Vol.

49%

31°C

$0 Vol.

49%

32°C or higher

$0 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 1 around 26–27°C (79–81°F), consistent with the typical early-September transition out of the monsoon season.** Steady southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (70–90%) and partly cloudy skies, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Recent conditions show similar patterns, with observed lows near 26°C and no significant synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the sea breeze, which suppresses temperature drops below ~25°C, versus any unexpected increase in cloud cover or light precipitation that could further moderate cooling. Model consensus across sources shows little divergence, with highs near 31–32°C and minimal rain risk. Historical climatology for early September places average lows around 26–27°C, supporting this range over extremes like sub-22°C (requiring unusually clear, calm conditions) or 32°C+ (unlikely without a strong heat advection event). Trader sentiment appears split between these low-probability tails, likely reflecting the near-term resolution window, model uncertainty margins, and the coastal city's narrow diurnal temperature range rather than any major recent developments. Updated official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department will be the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 1 around 26–27°C (79–81°F), consistent with the typical early-September transition out of the monsoon season.** Steady southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (70–90%) and partly cloudy skies, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Recent conditions show similar patterns, with observed lows near 26°C and no significant synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the sea breeze, which suppresses temperature drops below ~25°C, versus any unexpected increase in cloud cover or light precipitation that could further moderate cooling. Model consensus across sources shows little divergence, with highs near 31–32°C and minimal rain risk. Historical climatology for early September places average lows around 26–27°C, supporting this range over extremes like sub-22°C (requiring unusually clear, calm conditions) or 32°C+ (unlikely without a strong heat advection event). Trader sentiment appears split between these low-probability tails, likely reflecting the near-term resolution window, model uncertainty margins, and the coastal city's narrow diurnal temperature range rather than any major recent developments. Updated official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department will be the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "22°C or below" con 49%, seguido de "32°C or higher" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?" es "22°C or below" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "32°C or higher" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.