Current forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show daily lows around 26–26.5°C amid unusually dry monsoon conditions linked to El Niño, reducing cloud cover variability and convective activity that could otherwise alter overnight temperatures. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities around 25–27°C outcomes, with limited upside or downside risk absent any unexpected weather system development before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Karachi el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Karachi el 31 de agosto?
23°C 45%
31°C or higher 44%
24°C 43%
29°C 43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
37%
22°C
14%
23°C
45%
24°C
43%
25°C
23%
26°C
39%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C
43%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
44%
23°C 45%
31°C or higher 44%
24°C 43%
29°C 43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
37%
22°C
$130 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
43%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show daily lows around 26–26.5°C amid unusually dry monsoon conditions linked to El Niño, reducing cloud cover variability and convective activity that could otherwise alter overnight temperatures. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities around 25–27°C outcomes, with limited upside or downside risk absent any unexpected weather system development before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show daily lows around 26–26.5°C amid unusually dry monsoon conditions linked to El Niño, reducing cloud cover variability and convective activity that could otherwise alter overnight temperatures. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities around 25–27°C outcomes, with limited upside or downside risk absent any unexpected weather system development before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$390Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show daily lows around 26–26.5°C amid unusually dry monsoon conditions linked to El Niño, reducing cloud cover variability and convective activity that could otherwise alter overnight temperatures. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities around 25–27°C outcomes, with limited upside or downside risk absent any unexpected weather system development before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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