Current forecasts from regional models point to Manila's overnight low on September 15 hovering near 25–26°C under weakening southwest monsoon flow and light easterly winds. High dew points around 24°C and humidity near 90% suppress radiative cooling, while variable afternoon-to-evening cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms from convective activity can further moderate temperature drops. Urban heat retention and minimal wind mixing add to the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical September climatology, where Manila lows average near 26°C, with fresh PAGASA or ensemble updates likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 15 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 45%
31°C o más 45%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
21°C o menos
45%
22°C
13%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C o más
45%
21°C o menos 45%
31°C o más 45%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$10 Vol.
45%
22°C
$10 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$10 Vol.
17%
30°C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C o más
$10 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models point to Manila's overnight low on September 15 hovering near 25–26°C under weakening southwest monsoon flow and light easterly winds. High dew points around 24°C and humidity near 90% suppress radiative cooling, while variable afternoon-to-evening cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms from convective activity can further moderate temperature drops. Urban heat retention and minimal wind mixing add to the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical September climatology, where Manila lows average near 26°C, with fresh PAGASA or ensemble updates likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models point to Manila's overnight low on September 15 hovering near 25–26°C under weakening southwest monsoon flow and light easterly winds. High dew points around 24°C and humidity near 90% suppress radiative cooling, while variable afternoon-to-evening cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms from convective activity can further moderate temperature drops. Urban heat retention and minimal wind mixing add to the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical September climatology, where Manila lows average near 26°C, with fresh PAGASA or ensemble updates likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models point to Manila's overnight low on September 15 hovering near 25–26°C under weakening southwest monsoon flow and light easterly winds. High dew points around 24°C and humidity near 90% suppress radiative cooling, while variable afternoon-to-evening cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms from convective activity can further moderate temperature drops. Urban heat retention and minimal wind mixing add to the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against typical September climatology, where Manila lows average near 26°C, with fresh PAGASA or ensemble updates likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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