Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 9 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 9 de septiembre?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
20°C o menos 3%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
9 sep 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
25°C 99.5%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
20°C o menos 3%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
9 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$52 Vol.
No
21°C
$167 Vol.
No
22°C
$52 Vol.
No
23°C
$40 Vol.
No
24°C
$25 Vol.
No
25°C
$60 Vol.
Sí
26°C
$201 Vol.
No
27°C
$145 Vol.
No
28°C
$259 Vol.
No
29°C
$254 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$210 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,464Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,464Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes