Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$24,958 Vol.
$24,958 Vol.
15 ago 2026
57°F o menos
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Sí
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F o más
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F o menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$24,958 Vol.
$24,958 Vol.
15 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$336 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$317 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,095 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$927 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$824 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$920 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,892 Vol.
Sí
70-71°F
$12,936 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,410 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,410 Vol.
No
76°F o más
$891 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$24,958Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,958Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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