Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 11 will likely settle between 13–15 °C under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Clearer skies or reduced mixing could allow brief dips toward 12 °C or lower in sheltered areas, while increased cloudiness or a modest warm advection would favor readings near 14 °C. Historical September climatology places the average minimum near 12 °C, yet current high-pressure dominance has kept recent nights milder, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and Météo-France updates expected overnight for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 11 de septiembre?
13°C 31%
12°C 28%
14°C 25%
10°C o menos 15%
10°C o menos
15%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
25%
15°C
8%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
2%
13°C 31%
12°C 28%
14°C 25%
10°C o menos 15%
10°C o menos
15%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
25%
15°C
8%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 11 will likely settle between 13–15 °C under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Clearer skies or reduced mixing could allow brief dips toward 12 °C or lower in sheltered areas, while increased cloudiness or a modest warm advection would favor readings near 14 °C. Historical September climatology places the average minimum near 12 °C, yet current high-pressure dominance has kept recent nights milder, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and Météo-France updates expected overnight for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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