Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 24 de agosto?
22°C o menos 94%
32°C o más 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o menos
94%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C o más
46%
22°C o menos 94%
32°C o más 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
94%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$18 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
36%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C o más
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$18Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts indicates a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Qingdao on August 24, driven by persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds maintaining cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This coastal marine influence and ongoing monsoon moisture keep overnight lows elevated above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. The leading 43% market-implied probability on 22°C or below reflects trader assessment of uncertainty in short-range guidance, where stronger rain bands or a temporary wind shift could enhance cooling. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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