Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts and record regional highs near 37–40°C, are suppressing nocturnal cooling in the Seoul-Incheon area through strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity. These dynamics elevate the expected morning low at Incheon International Airport well above the seasonal ~22–23°C baseline, with KMA and international model consensus converging on 26–28°C for August 5. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 28°C reflects this robust observational and forecast alignment. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective precipitation, or shift in the North Pacific high could enhance radiative cooling and lower the minimum toward 26–27°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 5 de agosto?
28°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$12,723 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,723 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$12,723 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,723 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C or below
$663 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$841 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$560 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,374 Vol.
1%
28°C
$4,329 Vol.
99%
29°C
$1,838 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts and record regional highs near 37–40°C, are suppressing nocturnal cooling in the Seoul-Incheon area through strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity. These dynamics elevate the expected morning low at Incheon International Airport well above the seasonal ~22–23°C baseline, with KMA and international model consensus converging on 26–28°C for August 5. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 28°C reflects this robust observational and forecast alignment. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective precipitation, or shift in the North Pacific high could enhance radiative cooling and lower the minimum toward 26–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,723Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts and record regional highs near 37–40°C, are suppressing nocturnal cooling in the Seoul-Incheon area through strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity. These dynamics elevate the expected morning low at Incheon International Airport well above the seasonal ~22–23°C baseline, with KMA and international model consensus converging on 26–28°C for August 5. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 28°C reflects this robust observational and forecast alignment. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective precipitation, or shift in the North Pacific high could enhance radiative cooling and lower the minimum toward 26–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,723Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration severe alerts and record regional highs near 37–40°C, are suppressing nocturnal cooling in the Seoul-Incheon area through strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity. These dynamics elevate the expected morning low at Incheon International Airport well above the seasonal ~22–23°C baseline, with KMA and international model consensus converging on 26–28°C for August 5. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 28°C reflects this robust observational and forecast alignment. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective precipitation, or shift in the North Pacific high could enhance radiative cooling and lower the minimum toward 26–27°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes