Persistent heatwave conditions under the North Pacific high, reinforced by light winds and high humidity, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Seoul-Incheon region, driving market-implied odds toward 27–28°C as the most likely minimum for August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models show minimal radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid ongoing heatwave warnings and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24 hours. Typical August baselines feature lows of 22–24°C, but current subsidence and moisture retention are elevating thresholds by several degrees. Fresh model runs and official morning observations on August 6 will refine exact resolution, with any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift potentially tipping the outcome between the tightly matched leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 6 de agosto?
27°C 45%
28°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 5%
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
45%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 5%
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
45%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions under the North Pacific high, reinforced by light winds and high humidity, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Seoul-Incheon region, driving market-implied odds toward 27–28°C as the most likely minimum for August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and aligned global models show minimal radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid ongoing heatwave warnings and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24 hours. Typical August baselines feature lows of 22–24°C, but current subsidence and moisture retention are elevating thresholds by several degrees. Fresh model runs and official morning observations on August 6 will refine exact resolution, with any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift potentially tipping the outcome between the tightly matched leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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