Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with persistent northeasterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region through September 6, supporting overnight lows clustered around 19–21°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight limit radiative cooling, aligning with the market's strong implied probabilities for 20°C (46%) and 21°C (33%). These outcomes reflect typical early-September climatology for the area, where average lows hover near 18–20°C absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on temperature trends, with no incoming fronts or precipitation expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like the KMA will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring any late adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 6 de septiembre?
20°C 45%
14°C o menos 40%
21°C 35%
18°C 22%
14°C o menos
40%
15°C
19%
16°C
4%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
17%
20°C
45%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C o más
2%
20°C 45%
14°C o menos 40%
21°C 35%
18°C 22%
14°C o menos
40%
15°C
19%
16°C
4%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
17%
20°C
45%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with persistent northeasterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region through September 6, supporting overnight lows clustered around 19–21°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight limit radiative cooling, aligning with the market's strong implied probabilities for 20°C (46%) and 21°C (33%). These outcomes reflect typical early-September climatology for the area, where average lows hover near 18–20°C absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on temperature trends, with no incoming fronts or precipitation expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like the KMA will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring any late adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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