Recent weather model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 20–21°C. This aligns with historical September 4 averages near 20.7°C and current 10-day outlooks projecting lows of 19–21°C under stable high-pressure conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to retain heat. Trader positioning on 21°C as the modal outcome reflects high confidence in this baseline while incorporating small spreads for model variability in exact timing of the daily minimum and minor moisture influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 4 de septiembre?
21°C 48%
22°C 30%
20°C 22%
23°C 18%
15°C o menos
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C o más
1%
21°C 48%
22°C 30%
20°C 22%
23°C 18%
15°C o menos
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 20–21°C. This aligns with historical September 4 averages near 20.7°C and current 10-day outlooks projecting lows of 19–21°C under stable high-pressure conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to retain heat. Trader positioning on 21°C as the modal outcome reflects high confidence in this baseline while incorporating small spreads for model variability in exact timing of the daily minimum and minor moisture influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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