**Forecast consensus points to an overnight minimum in Taipei of 25–26°C on August 26, 2026, amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover from a weakening low-pressure system.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates nighttime temperatures of 26–30°C following daytime highs near 30–33°C, while international models (including hourly outputs from Yr and others) show early-morning readings dipping to 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. High humidity (often 90%+) and recent rainfall on August 25 limit radiative cooling, keeping the floor elevated relative to drier climatological norms around 25°C for late August. Slight model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C, with 26°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by official stations before sunrise, so any last-minute shift in forecast dew points or wind could quickly reprice the near-even leading contracts.