Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 18 de septiembre?
5°C o menos 100%
15°C o más 98%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
100%
6°C
31%
7°C
34%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
31%
14°C
35%
15°C o más
98%
5°C o menos 100%
15°C o más 98%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$0 Vol.
100%
6°C
$0 Vol.
31%
7°C
$0 Vol.
34%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
38%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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