Recent passage of a cold front over central Poland has advected cooler maritime air into the Warsaw region, sharply lowering daytime maxima from the prior 25°C to around 18–20°C on September 17 while promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Numerical weather models consistently project a minimum near 11–12°C by dawn, aligning with the market’s 90% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-September climatology at 52°N latitude, combined with weak winds and high humidity, supports efficient heat loss after sunset; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky amplification or delayed frontal timing. Official station readings will resolve the market shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 17 de septiembre?
11°C 99%
7°C o menos 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$3,667 Vol.
$3,667 Vol.
17 sep 2026
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sí
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
11°C 99%
7°C o menos 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$3,667 Vol.
$3,667 Vol.
17 sep 2026
7°C o menos
$0 Vol.
No
8°C
$0 Vol.
No
9°C
$0 Vol.
No
10°C
$20 Vol.
No
11°C
$207 Vol.
Sí
12°C
$1,988 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,150 Vol.
No
14°C
$156 Vol.
No
15°C
$72 Vol.
No
16°C
$46 Vol.
No
17°C o más
$28 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over central Poland has advected cooler maritime air into the Warsaw region, sharply lowering daytime maxima from the prior 25°C to around 18–20°C on September 17 while promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Numerical weather models consistently project a minimum near 11–12°C by dawn, aligning with the market’s 90% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-September climatology at 52°N latitude, combined with weak winds and high humidity, supports efficient heat loss after sunset; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky amplification or delayed frontal timing. Official station readings will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,667Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over central Poland has advected cooler maritime air into the Warsaw region, sharply lowering daytime maxima from the prior 25°C to around 18–20°C on September 17 while promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Numerical weather models consistently project a minimum near 11–12°C by dawn, aligning with the market’s 90% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-September climatology at 52°N latitude, combined with weak winds and high humidity, supports efficient heat loss after sunset; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky amplification or delayed frontal timing. Official station readings will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,667Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent passage of a cold front over central Poland has advected cooler maritime air into the Warsaw region, sharply lowering daytime maxima from the prior 25°C to around 18–20°C on September 17 while promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Numerical weather models consistently project a minimum near 11–12°C by dawn, aligning with the market’s 90% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-September climatology at 52°N latitude, combined with weak winds and high humidity, supports efficient heat loss after sunset; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky amplification or delayed frontal timing. Official station readings will resolve the market shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes