Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 5 de septiembre?
22°C o más 96%
12°C o menos 51%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
12°C o menos
51%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
48%
17°C
2%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
49%
21°C
48%
22°C o más
96%
22°C o más 96%
12°C o menos 51%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
51%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C o más
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes