Recent MetService and international model guidance points to an overnight low in Wellington near 9–11°C on August 26 amid northwesterly flow, increasing cloud, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and the precise arrival of any southerly change can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 9°C, yet current northerly advection favors slightly milder conditions; updated runs from NIWA and global ensembles will clarify whether clearer breaks allow further cooling or persistent marine air holds temperatures higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 26 de agosto?
9°C 49%
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 26%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
49%
10°C
11%
11°C
26%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C o más
1%
9°C 49%
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 26%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
49%
10°C
11%
11°C
26%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance points to an overnight low in Wellington near 9–11°C on August 26 amid northwesterly flow, increasing cloud, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and the precise arrival of any southerly change can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 9°C, yet current northerly advection favors slightly milder conditions; updated runs from NIWA and global ensembles will clarify whether clearer breaks allow further cooling or persistent marine air holds temperatures higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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