Recent northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 11–13°C for August 25. Strong advection of milder maritime air from the Tasman Sea limits radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover reduces the potential for stronger drops under clear conditions. Current model consensus from MetService and international guidance shows lows near 11–12°C amid gusty conditions, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Historical August minima in the city average near 9–11°C, but the current mild setup and lack of southerly outbreaks support the trader emphasis on the 11–13°C range ahead of final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 25 de agosto?
12°C 34%
11°C 29%
13°C 27%
14°C 22%
8°C or below
5%
9°C
11%
10°C
14%
11°C
29%
12°C
34%
13°C
27%
14°C
22%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
7%
12°C 34%
11°C 29%
13°C 27%
14°C 22%
8°C or below
5%
9°C
11%
10°C
14%
11°C
29%
12°C
34%
13°C
27%
14°C
22%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping Wellington's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 11–13°C for August 25. Strong advection of milder maritime air from the Tasman Sea limits radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover reduces the potential for stronger drops under clear conditions. Current model consensus from MetService and international guidance shows lows near 11–12°C amid gusty conditions, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Historical August minima in the city average near 9–11°C, but the current mild setup and lack of southerly outbreaks support the trader emphasis on the 11–13°C range ahead of final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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