**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 30 de agosto?
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 Vol.
$3,119 Vol.
30 ago 2026
15°C o menos
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sí
24°C
No
25°C o más
No
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 Vol.
$3,119 Vol.
30 ago 2026
15°C o menos
$668 Vol.
No
16°C
$53 Vol.
No
17°C
$53 Vol.
No
18°C
$97 Vol.
No
19°C
$117 Vol.
No
20°C
$677 Vol.
No
21°C
$90 Vol.
No
22°C
$761 Vol.
No
23°C
$18 Vol.
Sí
24°C
$95 Vol.
No
25°C o más
$490 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,119Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,119Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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