Massachusetts voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in Senate contests for more than a decade, with the last Republican victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey’s re-election bid, despite a September Democratic primary challenge from Seth Moulton, faces a Republican field led by John Deaton that lacks statewide infrastructure or recent precedent for competitiveness. Polling aggregates and fundraising patterns reinforce this structural advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt withdrawal—could realistically shift the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
98%
Republicano
2%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$18,799 Vol.
98%
Republicano
$5,426 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in Senate contests for more than a decade, with the last Republican victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey’s re-election bid, despite a September Democratic primary challenge from Seth Moulton, faces a Republican field led by John Deaton that lacks statewide infrastructure or recent precedent for competitiveness. Polling aggregates and fundraising patterns reinforce this structural advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt withdrawal—could realistically shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$24,225Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in Senate contests for more than a decade, with the last Republican victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey’s re-election bid, despite a September Democratic primary challenge from Seth Moulton, faces a Republican field led by John Deaton that lacks statewide infrastructure or recent precedent for competitiveness. Polling aggregates and fundraising patterns reinforce this structural advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt withdrawal—could realistically shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$24,225Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in Senate contests for more than a decade, with the last Republican victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey’s re-election bid, despite a September Democratic primary challenge from Seth Moulton, faces a Republican field led by John Deaton that lacks statewide infrastructure or recent precedent for competitiveness. Polling aggregates and fundraising patterns reinforce this structural advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt withdrawal—could realistically shift the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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