Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the state's deep-blue lean—where no Republican has won since 1972—and consistent general election polling showing him leading potential GOP challengers like John Deaton by 20+ points in April UNH surveys. Recent Emerson polling from early May highlights a tightening Democratic primary against Rep. Seth Moulton (37%-32%, 29% undecided), but even a Moulton nomination would preserve strong incumbency-style advantages in this +30D state ahead of the September 1 primary and November general. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Markey's health concerns at age 80, or an unexpected high-profile Republican recruit amid national midterms dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
4%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,382 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the state's deep-blue lean—where no Republican has won since 1972—and consistent general election polling showing him leading potential GOP challengers like John Deaton by 20+ points in April UNH surveys. Recent Emerson polling from early May highlights a tightening Democratic primary against Rep. Seth Moulton (37%-32%, 29% undecided), but even a Moulton nomination would preserve strong incumbency-style advantages in this +30D state ahead of the September 1 primary and November general. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Markey's health concerns at age 80, or an unexpected high-profile Republican recruit amid national midterms dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$12,986Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the state's deep-blue lean—where no Republican has won since 1972—and consistent general election polling showing him leading potential GOP challengers like John Deaton by 20+ points in April UNH surveys. Recent Emerson polling from early May highlights a tightening Democratic primary against Rep. Seth Moulton (37%-32%, 29% undecided), but even a Moulton nomination would preserve strong incumbency-style advantages in this +30D state ahead of the September 1 primary and November general. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Markey's health concerns at age 80, or an unexpected high-profile Republican recruit amid national midterms dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$12,986Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the state's deep-blue lean—where no Republican has won since 1972—and consistent general election polling showing him leading potential GOP challengers like John Deaton by 20+ points in April UNH surveys. Recent Emerson polling from early May highlights a tightening Democratic primary against Rep. Seth Moulton (37%-32%, 29% undecided), but even a Moulton nomination would preserve strong incumbency-style advantages in this +30D state ahead of the September 1 primary and November general. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Markey's health concerns at age 80, or an unexpected high-profile Republican recruit amid national midterms dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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