The retirement of longtime Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat that Democratic Representative Chris Pappas has consolidated early, leading recent University of New Hampshire polling by seven points against former Senator John Sununu and by double digits against Scott Brown. These surveys, combined with Cook Political Report's Lean Democratic rating, have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Republicans view Sununu as their strongest recruit, yet ongoing primary fragmentation and New Hampshire's modest Democratic lean in federal contests have kept the race from shifting further. The September primaries and any late polling movement remain the main variables that could alter positioning before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
$25,716 Vol.
$25,716 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
83%
Republicano
30%
$25,716 Vol.
$25,716 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,381 Vol.
83%
Republicano
$8,334 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of longtime Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat that Democratic Representative Chris Pappas has consolidated early, leading recent University of New Hampshire polling by seven points against former Senator John Sununu and by double digits against Scott Brown. These surveys, combined with Cook Political Report's Lean Democratic rating, have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Republicans view Sununu as their strongest recruit, yet ongoing primary fragmentation and New Hampshire's modest Democratic lean in federal contests have kept the race from shifting further. The September primaries and any late polling movement remain the main variables that could alter positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$25,716Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of longtime Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat that Democratic Representative Chris Pappas has consolidated early, leading recent University of New Hampshire polling by seven points against former Senator John Sununu and by double digits against Scott Brown. These surveys, combined with Cook Political Report's Lean Democratic rating, have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Republicans view Sununu as their strongest recruit, yet ongoing primary fragmentation and New Hampshire's modest Democratic lean in federal contests have kept the race from shifting further. The September primaries and any late polling movement remain the main variables that could alter positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,716Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat that Democratic Representative Chris Pappas has consolidated early, leading recent University of New Hampshire polling by seven points against former Senator John Sununu and by double digits against Scott Brown. These surveys, combined with Cook Political Report's Lean Democratic rating, have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Republicans view Sununu as their strongest recruit, yet ongoing primary fragmentation and New Hampshire's modest Democratic lean in federal contests have kept the race from shifting further. The September primaries and any late polling movement remain the main variables that could alter positioning before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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