**Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holds a clear polling edge in the open New Hampshire Senate race following incumbent Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement.** Recent surveys, including averages from RealClearPolitics and 270toWin through mid-2026, show Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 11–13 points (around 49–37 percent) and wider margins against alternatives such as Scott Brown. New Hampshire’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and its recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates contribute to the state’s modest Democratic tilt. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, with Pappas favored on the Democratic side and Sununu leading the Republican field, but current head-to-head numbers have produced a trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
$43,705 Vol.
$43,705 Vol.

Demócrata
86%

Republicano
15%
$43,705 Vol.
$43,705 Vol.

Demócrata
86%

Republicano
15%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holds a clear polling edge in the open New Hampshire Senate race following incumbent Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement.** Recent surveys, including averages from RealClearPolitics and 270toWin through mid-2026, show Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 11–13 points (around 49–37 percent) and wider margins against alternatives such as Scott Brown. New Hampshire’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and its recent pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates contribute to the state’s modest Democratic tilt. The September 8 primaries remain weeks away, with Pappas favored on the Democratic side and Sununu leading the Republican field, but current head-to-head numbers have produced a trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. No major late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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