Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat with a D+17 partisan voting index that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following the March 17 contest, while Oakley emerged as the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising indicators for the challenger. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in suburban Chicago precincts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
2%
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$26,642 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$24,024 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat with a D+17 partisan voting index that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following the March 17 contest, while Oakley emerged as the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising indicators for the challenger. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in suburban Chicago precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$50,666Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat with a D+17 partisan voting index that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following the March 17 contest, while Oakley emerged as the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising indicators for the challenger. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in suburban Chicago precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$50,666Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat with a D+17 partisan voting index that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following the March 17 contest, while Oakley emerged as the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising indicators for the challenger. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in suburban Chicago precincts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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