Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Demócrata
27%
$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,974 Vol.
70%
Partido Demócrata
$6,220 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$10,194Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,194Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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