The heavily Democratic composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent performance in prior cycles, underpins the 95.3% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Recent primary results advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, while Republican Calvin Lee finished third and will not appear on the November ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns in the Los Angeles-based seat, where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to unusual developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant legal challenges, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-34 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-34 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$38,866 Vol.
$38,866 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$38,866 Vol.
$38,866 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,025 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$23,841 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent performance in prior cycles, underpins the 95.3% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Recent primary results advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, while Republican Calvin Lee finished third and will not appear on the November ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns in the Los Angeles-based seat, where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to unusual developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant legal challenges, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$38,866Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent performance in prior cycles, underpins the 95.3% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Recent primary results advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, while Republican Calvin Lee finished third and will not appear on the November ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns in the Los Angeles-based seat, where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to unusual developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant legal challenges, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,866Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and consistent performance in prior cycles, underpins the 95.3% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Recent primary results advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, while Republican Calvin Lee finished third and will not appear on the November ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns in the Los Angeles-based seat, where Democratic candidates routinely secure large margins absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to unusual developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant legal challenges, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes