Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election for Maryland's 1st congressional district. The seat's Republican tilt, rooted in consistent voter patterns across the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris's prior 59 percent performance in 2024 and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforcing Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable. With no major campaign developments or external factors altering the district's fundamentals since the primaries concluded, market pricing reflects the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,919 Vol.
$32,919 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$32,919 Vol.
$32,919 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,916 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$14,002 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election for Maryland's 1st congressional district. The seat's Republican tilt, rooted in consistent voter patterns across the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris's prior 59 percent performance in 2024 and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforcing Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable. With no major campaign developments or external factors altering the district's fundamentals since the primaries concluded, market pricing reflects the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$32,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election for Maryland's 1st congressional district. The seat's Republican tilt, rooted in consistent voter patterns across the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris's prior 59 percent performance in 2024 and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforcing Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable. With no major campaign developments or external factors altering the district's fundamentals since the primaries concluded, market pricing reflects the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election for Maryland's 1st congressional district. The seat's Republican tilt, rooted in consistent voter patterns across the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris's prior 59 percent performance in 2024 and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforcing Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable. With no major campaign developments or external factors altering the district's fundamentals since the primaries concluded, market pricing reflects the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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