Kelly Ayotte, the Republican incumbent, holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race due to her established position and consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points against the leading Democratic contender, former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington. Recent surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College in March and April 2026 reflect this advantage, with many voters still forming opinions of the challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring the structural benefits of incumbency in a state with narrow partisan margins. The September primary and November general election timelines leave room for shifts in turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with Ayotte’s frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,201 Vol.
$10,201 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
71%
Democrat
24%
$10,201 Vol.
$10,201 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
$4,138 Vol.
71%
Democrat
$6,063 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kelly Ayotte, the Republican incumbent, holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race due to her established position and consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points against the leading Democratic contender, former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington. Recent surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College in March and April 2026 reflect this advantage, with many voters still forming opinions of the challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring the structural benefits of incumbency in a state with narrow partisan margins. The September primary and November general election timelines leave room for shifts in turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with Ayotte’s frontrunner status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$10,201Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kelly Ayotte, the Republican incumbent, holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race due to her established position and consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points against the leading Democratic contender, former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington. Recent surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College in March and April 2026 reflect this advantage, with many voters still forming opinions of the challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring the structural benefits of incumbency in a state with narrow partisan margins. The September primary and November general election timelines leave room for shifts in turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with Ayotte’s frontrunner status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,201Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Ayotte, the Republican incumbent, holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race due to her established position and consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points against the leading Democratic contender, former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington. Recent surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College in March and April 2026 reflect this advantage, with many voters still forming opinions of the challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring the structural benefits of incumbency in a state with narrow partisan margins. The September primary and November general election timelines leave room for shifts in turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with Ayotte’s frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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