New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who won her party's June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who secured the GOP nomination. Traders price a Democratic victory at 90.5% because the state has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, Haaland brings strong name recognition and federal experience, and forecasts from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a GOP governor in 2010. A major national Republican surge, late-breaking personal or policy controversies affecting Haaland, or unusually high GOP turnout in rural areas remain the clearest paths that could narrow or reverse the current implied probability before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Nuevo México
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Nuevo México
$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
91%
Republicano
9%
$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$16,559 Vol.
91%
Republicano
$6,449 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who won her party's June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who secured the GOP nomination. Traders price a Democratic victory at 90.5% because the state has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, Haaland brings strong name recognition and federal experience, and forecasts from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a GOP governor in 2010. A major national Republican surge, late-breaking personal or policy controversies affecting Haaland, or unusually high GOP turnout in rural areas remain the clearest paths that could narrow or reverse the current implied probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$23,008Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who won her party's June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who secured the GOP nomination. Traders price a Democratic victory at 90.5% because the state has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, Haaland brings strong name recognition and federal experience, and forecasts from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a GOP governor in 2010. A major national Republican surge, late-breaking personal or policy controversies affecting Haaland, or unusually high GOP turnout in rural areas remain the clearest paths that could narrow or reverse the current implied probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$23,008Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who won her party's June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who secured the GOP nomination. Traders price a Democratic victory at 90.5% because the state has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, Haaland brings strong name recognition and federal experience, and forecasts from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a GOP governor in 2010. A major national Republican surge, late-breaking personal or policy controversies affecting Haaland, or unusually high GOP turnout in rural areas remain the clearest paths that could narrow or reverse the current implied probability before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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