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icon for ¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?

¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?

icon for ¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?

¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?

<38.0 39%

38.0–38.4 39%

38,5–38,9 39%

39.0–39.4 39%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<38.0 39%

38.0–38.4 39%

38,5–38,9 39%

39.0–39.4 39%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<38.0

$0 Vol.

39%

38.0–38.4

$0 Vol.

39%

38,5–38,9

$0 Vol.

39%

39.0–39.4

$0 Vol.

39%

39.5–39.9

$0 Vol.

39%

40.0+

$0 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<38.0" con 40%, seguido de "38.0–38.4" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?" es "<38.0" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "38.0–38.4" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Índice de aprobación de Trump el 31 de julio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.