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icon for ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

icon for ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

Up

48% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Up

48% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval stuck in the mid-to-low 30s amid persistent voter concerns over inflation, cost of living, and the administration's Iran negotiations, creating a narrow edge for weekly declines in trader sentiment. Multiple July surveys, including those from Pew, Washington Post-Ipsos, and Fox News, indicate net disapproval near or above 20 points with limited movement over the past month, though one RMG Research poll released this week noted a modest uptick. Economic perceptions and any fresh diplomatic or legislative developments in the coming days remain the primary variables that could shift the closely balanced market either direction before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$75
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval stuck in the mid-to-low 30s amid persistent voter concerns over inflation, cost of living, and the administration's Iran negotiations, creating a narrow edge for weekly declines in trader sentiment. Multiple July surveys, including those from Pew, Washington Post-Ipsos, and Fox News, indicate net disapproval near or above 20 points with limited movement over the past month, though one RMG Research poll released this week noted a modest uptick. Economic perceptions and any fresh diplomatic or legislative developments in the coming days remain the primary variables that could shift the closely balanced market either direction before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$75
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on July 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" es un mercado de predicción diario en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre si el precio de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana? terminará más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que su precio de apertura durante la ventana diario especificada en el título. La probabilidad actual del mercado es 53% para "Down". Un precio de 53% significa que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Los precios se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los movimientos de precio en vivo de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" es un mercado activo a corto plazo en Polymarket. El volumen de trading puede acumularse rápidamente a medida que avanza la ventana diario, entra temprano para ayudar a establecer las probabilidades antes de que esta ventana cierre.

Para operar en "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?", decide si crees que el precio de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana? al mediodía ET del July 31 será más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que al mediodía ET del July 24. Compra "Up" si crees que el precio subirá, o "Down" si crees que bajará. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado es correcto, cada acción paga $1,00. Si es incorrecto, las acciones valen $0.

La probabilidad actual para "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" es 53% para "Down", lo que significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente asigna una probabilidad de 53% de que el precio de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana? terminará down durante esta ventana diario. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los datos de precio en vivo de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?. Durante un día completo, las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento en evolución a medida que se desarrolla la acción de precio del día. Vuelve con frecuencia u opera ahora antes de que la ventana cierre.

El mercado "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" se resuelve comparando el precio de ¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana? al mediodía ET del July 31 con el del mediodía ET del July 24, usando los precios de cierre de velas de 1 minuto de Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Si el precio al mediodía del July 31 es mayor, el resultado es "Up"; si es menor, "Down"; si es igual, el mercado se resuelve 50-50. Puedes revisar los criterios completos en la sección "Reglas".