Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with most national surveys from late August through early September showing figures between 35% and 39%. Economic discontent, especially on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs, continues to weigh on ratings, while handling of the Iran conflict and gas prices adds further pressure. Declining intensity of support among Republicans has also contributed to the steady but low readings. With the September 18 measurement only days away and no major new events shifting sentiment in the past week, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 37–39 range that matches the latest averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado38,0–38,4 29%
38.5–38.9 29%
37,5–37,9 26%
37.0–37.4 14%
<37,0
11%
37.0–37.4
14%
37,5–37,9
26%
38,0–38,4
29%
38.5–38.9
29%
39,0+
6%
38,0–38,4 29%
38.5–38.9 29%
37,5–37,9 26%
37.0–37.4 14%
<37,0
11%
37.0–37.4
14%
37,5–37,9
26%
38,0–38,4
29%
38.5–38.9
29%
39,0+
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with most national surveys from late August through early September showing figures between 35% and 39%. Economic discontent, especially on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs, continues to weigh on ratings, while handling of the Iran conflict and gas prices adds further pressure. Declining intensity of support among Republicans has also contributed to the steady but low readings. With the September 18 measurement only days away and no major new events shifting sentiment in the past week, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 37–39 range that matches the latest averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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