Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with his term extending through January 2029 and no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from Congress or the executive branch. Recent weeks have featured continued executive actions on citizenship policy, tariffs, and foreign affairs alongside routine legislative funding measures, without triggering the constitutional thresholds or political momentum required for removal. The roughly 25-day window to September 30 leaves insufficient time for any formal process to conclude even under extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers and the lack of primary-source developments indicating incapacity or sudden departure. A sudden documented health crisis, cabinet-led 25th Amendment action, or unprecedented bipartisan congressional vote could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
1% probabilidad
$206,621 Vol.
$206,621 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Sí
1% probabilidad
$206,621 Vol.
$206,621 Vol.
30 sep 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with his term extending through January 2029 and no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from Congress or the executive branch. Recent weeks have featured continued executive actions on citizenship policy, tariffs, and foreign affairs alongside routine legislative funding measures, without triggering the constitutional thresholds or political momentum required for removal. The roughly 25-day window to September 30 leaves insufficient time for any formal process to conclude even under extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers and the lack of primary-source developments indicating incapacity or sudden departure. A sudden documented health crisis, cabinet-led 25th Amendment action, or unprecedented bipartisan congressional vote could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volumen
$206,621Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with his term extending through January 2029 and no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from Congress or the executive branch. Recent weeks have featured continued executive actions on citizenship policy, tariffs, and foreign affairs alongside routine legislative funding measures, without triggering the constitutional thresholds or political momentum required for removal. The roughly 25-day window to September 30 leaves insufficient time for any formal process to conclude even under extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers and the lack of primary-source developments indicating incapacity or sudden departure. A sudden documented health crisis, cabinet-led 25th Amendment action, or unprecedented bipartisan congressional vote could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$206,621Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with his term extending through January 2029 and no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from Congress or the executive branch. Recent weeks have featured continued executive actions on citizenship policy, tariffs, and foreign affairs alongside routine legislative funding measures, without triggering the constitutional thresholds or political momentum required for removal. The roughly 25-day window to September 30 leaves insufficient time for any formal process to conclude even under extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers and the lack of primary-source developments indicating incapacity or sudden departure. A sudden documented health crisis, cabinet-led 25th Amendment action, or unprecedented bipartisan congressional vote could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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