Recent supply chain reports and analyst updates from Ming-Chi Kuo and Bloomberg point to Apple unveiling its first book-style foldable iPhone, likely called the iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. Mass production has begun at Foxconn with design locked and component shipments underway, despite earlier hinge and yield concerns now largely resolved. iOS 27 beta code includes fold-state detection and multitasking features tailored for flexible displays, supporting a 7.8-inch inner screen and 5.5-inch cover. While pre-orders may slip into Q4 2026 due to limited initial volumes of 7-10 million units, the timeline aligns with shipments before year-end, driving the 80.5% market-implied odds through credible hardware and software milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
76% probabilidad
$282,056 Vol.
$282,056 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
76% probabilidad
$282,056 Vol.
$282,056 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst updates from Ming-Chi Kuo and Bloomberg point to Apple unveiling its first book-style foldable iPhone, likely called the iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. Mass production has begun at Foxconn with design locked and component shipments underway, despite earlier hinge and yield concerns now largely resolved. iOS 27 beta code includes fold-state detection and multitasking features tailored for flexible displays, supporting a 7.8-inch inner screen and 5.5-inch cover. While pre-orders may slip into Q4 2026 due to limited initial volumes of 7-10 million units, the timeline aligns with shipments before year-end, driving the 80.5% market-implied odds through credible hardware and software milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$282,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst updates from Ming-Chi Kuo and Bloomberg point to Apple unveiling its first book-style foldable iPhone, likely called the iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. Mass production has begun at Foxconn with design locked and component shipments underway, despite earlier hinge and yield concerns now largely resolved. iOS 27 beta code includes fold-state detection and multitasking features tailored for flexible displays, supporting a 7.8-inch inner screen and 5.5-inch cover. While pre-orders may slip into Q4 2026 due to limited initial volumes of 7-10 million units, the timeline aligns with shipments before year-end, driving the 80.5% market-implied odds through credible hardware and software milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$282,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst updates from Ming-Chi Kuo and Bloomberg point to Apple unveiling its first book-style foldable iPhone, likely called the iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. Mass production has begun at Foxconn with design locked and component shipments underway, despite earlier hinge and yield concerns now largely resolved. iOS 27 beta code includes fold-state detection and multitasking features tailored for flexible displays, supporting a 7.8-inch inner screen and 5.5-inch cover. While pre-orders may slip into Q4 2026 due to limited initial volumes of 7-10 million units, the timeline aligns with shipments before year-end, driving the 80.5% market-implied odds through credible hardware and software milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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