Google’s recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 series releases, including variants optimized for agents and real-time voice, have driven its 87.5% implied probability as the second-best AI lab by end-September. These updates delivered leading scores on GPQA Diamond and other benchmarks while expanding platform integrations, outpacing peers in the final weeks before the arena.ai Text Arena Labs leaderboard snapshot on September 30. Anthropic’s Claude models currently top many overall rankings, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic that leaves Google as the market’s strong consensus choice for second. OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs trail with single-digit odds amid slower recent capability demonstrations and fewer confirmed high-impact releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute benchmark shifts or model drops could still alter the final ordering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 86%
Meta 5.8%
OpenAI 4.0%
Alibaba 2.1%
$105,739 Vol.
$105,739 Vol.
30 sep 2026
86%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
4%
Alibaba
2%
Moonshot
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Anthropic
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 86%
Meta 5.8%
OpenAI 4.0%
Alibaba 2.1%
$105,739 Vol.
$105,739 Vol.
30 sep 2026
$32,269 Vol.
86%
Meta
$13,327 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$8,244 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$14,461 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$3,901 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$3,881 Vol.
2%
Anthropic
$5,421 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$3,876 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$3,777 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,229 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$534 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,452 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,442 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$477 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 series releases, including variants optimized for agents and real-time voice, have driven its 87.5% implied probability as the second-best AI lab by end-September. These updates delivered leading scores on GPQA Diamond and other benchmarks while expanding platform integrations, outpacing peers in the final weeks before the arena.ai Text Arena Labs leaderboard snapshot on September 30. Anthropic’s Claude models currently top many overall rankings, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic that leaves Google as the market’s strong consensus choice for second. OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs trail with single-digit odds amid slower recent capability demonstrations and fewer confirmed high-impact releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute benchmark shifts or model drops could still alter the final ordering.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,739Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 series releases, including variants optimized for agents and real-time voice, have driven its 87.5% implied probability as the second-best AI lab by end-September. These updates delivered leading scores on GPQA Diamond and other benchmarks while expanding platform integrations, outpacing peers in the final weeks before the arena.ai Text Arena Labs leaderboard snapshot on September 30. Anthropic’s Claude models currently top many overall rankings, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic that leaves Google as the market’s strong consensus choice for second. OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs trail with single-digit odds amid slower recent capability demonstrations and fewer confirmed high-impact releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute benchmark shifts or model drops could still alter the final ordering.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$105,739Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 series releases, including variants optimized for agents and real-time voice, have driven its 87.5% implied probability as the second-best AI lab by end-September. These updates delivered leading scores on GPQA Diamond and other benchmarks while expanding platform integrations, outpacing peers in the final weeks before the arena.ai Text Arena Labs leaderboard snapshot on September 30. Anthropic’s Claude models currently top many overall rankings, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic that leaves Google as the market’s strong consensus choice for second. OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs trail with single-digit odds amid slower recent capability demonstrations and fewer confirmed high-impact releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute benchmark shifts or model drops could still alter the final ordering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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