Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Sí
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
20 ene 2029
Sí
$62,328 Vol.
$62,328 Vol.
20 ene 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$62,328Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$62,328Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic resolutions and renewed calls for House impeachment proceedings, spurred by President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, have elevated trader expectations. Public polling now shows majority support for impeachment efforts just over a year into the term, while forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of reclaiming the House majority in the November 2026 midterms. That shift would provide the votes needed for articles of impeachment, even if Senate conviction remains improbable. With the president’s second term running until January 2029, these midterm dynamics and ongoing partisan tensions form the core basis for the current 64 percent implied probability of House impeachment before the term concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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