Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress make House passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump improbable before the November 2026 midterms. Multiple Democratic resolutions have been introduced since late 2025, yet none have advanced under current procedural control. Even if Democrats capture the House in November, the compressed timeline through year-end leaves minimal opportunity for floor action, committee review, and a Senate trial. Conviction would still require a two-thirds Senate vote, a threshold unmet in prior Trump impeachments and unlikely under divided or Republican-leaning Senate composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% “No” price therefore rests on institutional barriers and calendar constraints rather than the absence of partisan calls for accountability. Late-breaking developments, such as an unexpected bipartisan coalition or extraordinary evidence emerging in the final weeks, remain the narrow paths that could alter this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$1,002,155 Vol.
$1,002,155 Vol.
Sí
$1,002,155 Vol.
$1,002,155 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress make House passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump improbable before the November 2026 midterms. Multiple Democratic resolutions have been introduced since late 2025, yet none have advanced under current procedural control. Even if Democrats capture the House in November, the compressed timeline through year-end leaves minimal opportunity for floor action, committee review, and a Senate trial. Conviction would still require a two-thirds Senate vote, a threshold unmet in prior Trump impeachments and unlikely under divided or Republican-leaning Senate composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% “No” price therefore rests on institutional barriers and calendar constraints rather than the absence of partisan calls for accountability. Late-breaking developments, such as an unexpected bipartisan coalition or extraordinary evidence emerging in the final weeks, remain the narrow paths that could alter this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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