Alisson Becker holds the highest implied probability at 26.5% in this wide-open market, reflecting Brazil’s organized defense and his extensive international experience ahead of the 2026 tournament. Emiliano Martínez follows at 18.5% on the strength of Argentina’s recent success and his own penalty-saving reputation, while Diogo Costa sits at 17.5% after a strong club campaign featuring high clean-sheet totals. Other leaders such as Alireza Beiranvand and Dominik Livaković represent nations capable of compact defensive displays that could produce unexpected shutouts. The spread across more than 40 options underscores how schedule, group strength, and individual form create multiple realistic paths rather than a clear frontrunner.