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icon for 2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Gavin McKenna 84%

Ivar Stenberg 15.4%

Chase Reid 2.8%

Viggo Björck <1%

Polymarket

$1,358,891 Vol.

Gavin McKenna 84%

Ivar Stenberg 15.4%

Chase Reid 2.8%

Viggo Björck <1%

Polymarket

$1,358,891 Vol.

Gavin McKenna

$31,684 Vol.

84%

Ivar Stenberg

$9,589 Vol.

15%

Chase Reid

$9,894 Vol.

3%

Viggo Björck

$466,276 Vol.

1%

Alberts Smits

$32,596 Vol.

<1%

Carson Carels

$7,079 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Malhotra

$6,190 Vol.

<1%

Keaton Verhoeff

$35,885 Vol.

<1%

Tynan Lawrence

$456,832 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Belchetz

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Lin

$17,762 Vol.

<1%

Daxon Rudolph

$3,323 Vol.

<1%

Adam Novotný

$2,463 Vol.

<1%

Elton Hermansson

$2,487 Vol.

<1%

Mathis Preston

$3,461 Vol.

<1%

Juho Piiparinen

$2,349 Vol.

<1%

JP Hurlbert

$12,044 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Nordmark

$14,799 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Hemming

$18,305 Vol.

<1%

Yegor Shilov

$1,232 Vol.

<1%

Ilya Morozov

$6,257 Vol.

<1%

William Hakansson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Klepov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Mbuyi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Roobroeck

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brooks Rogowski

$4,735 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Chrenko

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jack Hextall

$2,645 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Command

$5,090 Vol.

<1%

Niklas Aaram-Olsen

$2,194 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Shcherbakov

$144,842 Vol.

<1%

Wyatt Cullen

$2,466 Vol.

<1%

Alessandro Di Iorio

$1,988 Vol.

<1%

Giorgos Pantelas

$2,590 Vol.

<1%

Jaxon Cover

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Goljer

$1,550 Vol.

<1%

Beckham Edwards

$0 Vol.

<1%

Simas Ignatavicius

$0 Vol.

<1%

Liam Ruck

$1,590 Vol.

<1%

Victor Plante

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Nemec

$4,146 Vol.

<1%

Luke Schairer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Casey Mutryn

$0 Vol.

<1%

Mikey Berchild

$2,289 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Villeneuve

$1,656 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Suvanto

$2,212 Vol.

<1%

Malte Gustafsson

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

Maddox Dagenais

$32,916 Vol.

<1%

Adam Valentini

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Holmertz

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin McKenna’s dominant NCAA campaign at Penn State, marked by elite puck skills, vision, and a late-season surge that included strong World Juniors production for Canada, has solidified him as the clear frontrunner for the top selection in the 2026 NHL Draft. Scouts highlight his high offensive ceiling and ability to run a first power-play unit, creating a wide gap over the field in most rankings. Ivar Stenberg’s steady, two-way play with Frolunda in the SHL keeps him as the primary alternative, appealing to teams that value immediate NHL readiness and defensive commitment. Recent consensus lists from NHL Central Scouting and independent analysts reinforce McKenna’s edge, though minor shifts in scouting reports continue to reflect the class’s top-heavy nature.

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,358,891
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin McKenna’s dominant NCAA campaign at Penn State, marked by elite puck skills, vision, and a late-season surge that included strong World Juniors production for Canada, has solidified him as the clear frontrunner for the top selection in the 2026 NHL Draft. Scouts highlight his high offensive ceiling and ability to run a first power-play unit, creating a wide gap over the field in most rankings. Ivar Stenberg’s steady, two-way play with Frolunda in the SHL keeps him as the primary alternative, appealing to teams that value immediate NHL readiness and defensive commitment. Recent consensus lists from NHL Central Scouting and independent analysts reinforce McKenna’s edge, though minor shifts in scouting reports continue to reflect the class’s top-heavy nature.

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,358,891
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin McKenna" at 84%, followed by "Ivar Stenberg" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is "Gavin McKenna" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ivar Stenberg" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.