Trader consensus on an upward move for the popular Charizard ex (notably the SV151 Special Illustration Rare) by August 31 stems primarily from resilient collector demand and recent price resilience amid broader Pokémon TCG volatility. Iconic Charizard chase cards have shown strong secondary-market support through consistent sales volume and community interest, even as some variants dipped earlier in summer due to increased supply. This positions the 66.5% implied probability for gains as a reflection of trader expectations for a late-month rebound driven by ongoing nostalgia, graded card premiums, and anticipation of fall set releases. Historical patterns of Charizard spikes around new product cycles and end-of-month trading further bolster the current odds, though sudden supply influxes remain a key risk factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCharizard ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $372.18.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $372.18.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $372.18.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $372.18.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on an upward move for the popular Charizard ex (notably the SV151 Special Illustration Rare) by August 31 stems primarily from resilient collector demand and recent price resilience amid broader Pokémon TCG volatility. Iconic Charizard chase cards have shown strong secondary-market support through consistent sales volume and community interest, even as some variants dipped earlier in summer due to increased supply. This positions the 66.5% implied probability for gains as a reflection of trader expectations for a late-month rebound driven by ongoing nostalgia, graded card premiums, and anticipation of fall set releases. Historical patterns of Charizard spikes around new product cycles and end-of-month trading further bolster the current odds, though sudden supply influxes remain a key risk factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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