**The "Under" outcome at 75% implied probability reflects the Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box's sustained price decline through late summer 2026.** Secondary-market data from TCGplayer and related platforms showed the exclusive ETB trading in the low-to-mid $400 range by early September, with recent sales clustering around $390–$410 and a clear downward trajectory from earlier 2026 peaks above $500. This positioning made crossing above $436.11 on August 31 unlikely in trader consensus. Key catalysts include the set's February 2026 launch hype cooling amid steady supply of the Pokémon Center exclusive variant, combined with the August 28 release of new Ascended Heroes tins that added fresh product to the market and diverted collector attention. Broader sealed Pokémon TCG trends—marked by softening demand for mid-cycle exclusives and consistent sales volume without upward spikes—further anchored prices below the strike. Traders appear to have weighted these verifiable supply and demand signals heavily, consistent with historical patterns for Pokémon Center ETBs that typically peak early then moderate as availability normalizes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAscended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $436.11 on August 31?
Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $436.11 on August 31?
Over
25% chance
$890 Vol.
$890 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Over
25% chance
$890 Vol.
$890 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $436.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**The "Under" outcome at 75% implied probability reflects the Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box's sustained price decline through late summer 2026.** Secondary-market data from TCGplayer and related platforms showed the exclusive ETB trading in the low-to-mid $400 range by early September, with recent sales clustering around $390–$410 and a clear downward trajectory from earlier 2026 peaks above $500. This positioning made crossing above $436.11 on August 31 unlikely in trader consensus.
Key catalysts include the set's February 2026 launch hype cooling amid steady supply of the Pokémon Center exclusive variant, combined with the August 28 release of new Ascended Heroes tins that added fresh product to the market and diverted collector attention. Broader sealed Pokémon TCG trends—marked by softening demand for mid-cycle exclusives and consistent sales volume without upward spikes—further anchored prices below the strike. Traders appear to have weighted these verifiable supply and demand signals heavily, consistent with historical patterns for Pokémon Center ETBs that typically peak early then moderate as availability normalizes.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $436.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Volume
$890End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Under
No dispute
Final outcome: Under
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $436.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**The "Under" outcome at 75% implied probability reflects the Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box's sustained price decline through late summer 2026.** Secondary-market data from TCGplayer and related platforms showed the exclusive ETB trading in the low-to-mid $400 range by early September, with recent sales clustering around $390–$410 and a clear downward trajectory from earlier 2026 peaks above $500. This positioning made crossing above $436.11 on August 31 unlikely in trader consensus.
Key catalysts include the set's February 2026 launch hype cooling amid steady supply of the Pokémon Center exclusive variant, combined with the August 28 release of new Ascended Heroes tins that added fresh product to the market and diverted collector attention. Broader sealed Pokémon TCG trends—marked by softening demand for mid-cycle exclusives and consistent sales volume without upward spikes—further anchored prices below the strike. Traders appear to have weighted these verifiable supply and demand signals heavily, consistent with historical patterns for Pokémon Center ETBs that typically peak early then moderate as availability normalizes.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $436.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $436.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $436.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$890End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Under
No dispute
Final outcome: Under
**The "Under" outcome at 75% implied probability reflects the Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box's sustained price decline through late summer 2026.** Secondary-market data from TCGplayer and related platforms showed the exclusive ETB trading in the low-to-mid $400 range by early September, with recent sales clustering around $390–$410 and a clear downward trajectory from earlier 2026 peaks above $500. This positioning made crossing above $436.11 on August 31 unlikely in trader consensus. Key catalysts include the set's February 2026 launch hype cooling amid steady supply of the Pokémon Center exclusive variant, combined with the August 28 release of new Ascended Heroes tins that added fresh product to the market and diverted collector attention. Broader sealed Pokémon TCG trends—marked by softening demand for mid-cycle exclusives and consistent sales volume without upward spikes—further anchored prices below the strike. Traders appear to have weighted these verifiable supply and demand signals heavily, consistent with historical patterns for Pokémon Center ETBs that typically peak early then moderate as availability normalizes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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