**Trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94% implied probability, driven by the Pokémon Center Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box's sustained price erosion on the secondary market.** Released in early 2026 as part of the Mega Evolution series, the exclusive 11-pack ETB (with dual N's Zekrom promos) peaked higher earlier in the summer but has followed a clear downward trajectory, with TCGplayer market prices recently settling around $363–$384 amid steady sales volume and ample listings. This reflects typical post-hype cooling for Scarlet & Violet-era sealed product, increased supply from restocks or collector liquidations, and no fresh catalysts to reverse the trend before September 30. While a sudden surge in demand or unexpected scarcity could push prices above the $414.38 threshold in the final days, the short timeframe and established momentum make such a reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAscended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $414.38 on September 30?
Over
Over
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $414.38.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $414.38.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $414.38.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $414.38.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94% implied probability, driven by the Pokémon Center Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box's sustained price erosion on the secondary market.** Released in early 2026 as part of the Mega Evolution series, the exclusive 11-pack ETB (with dual N's Zekrom promos) peaked higher earlier in the summer but has followed a clear downward trajectory, with TCGplayer market prices recently settling around $363–$384 amid steady sales volume and ample listings. This reflects typical post-hype cooling for Scarlet & Violet-era sealed product, increased supply from restocks or collector liquidations, and no fresh catalysts to reverse the trend before September 30. While a sudden surge in demand or unexpected scarcity could push prices above the $414.38 threshold in the final days, the short timeframe and established momentum make such a reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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