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icon for Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Economy·Inflation

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

icon for Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Economy·Inflation

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

8% chance
Polymarket

$10,299 Vol.

8% chance
Polymarket

$10,299 Vol.

Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo remains a cultural touchstone and loss-leader staple, with current CEO Ron Vachris reaffirming in a March 2026 video that the price “will not change as long as I’m around.” This echoes decades of leadership pledges and the chain’s strategy of vertical integration to shield the deal from inflation, even as minor tweaks like adding a water option debuted in April without touching the core price. Traders assign “No” a 92% implied probability because the four-decade track record and explicit commitments create strong consensus around stability through 2026. A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply disruption could theoretically force a change, yet recent signals point to continuity rather than an upset.

Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,299
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot dog and soda combo remains a cultural touchstone and loss-leader staple, with current CEO Ron Vachris reaffirming in a March 2026 video that the price “will not change as long as I’m around.” This echoes decades of leadership pledges and the chain’s strategy of vertical integration to shield the deal from inflation, even as minor tweaks like adding a water option debuted in April without touching the core price. Traders assign “No” a 92% implied probability because the four-decade track record and explicit commitments create strong consensus around stability through 2026. A sudden leadership shift or extreme supply disruption could theoretically force a change, yet recent signals point to continuity rather than an upset.

Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,299
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 8% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 8¢, the market collectively assigns a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?" is 8% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.