Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks underpins the 87.5% market-implied probability that no critical (red) incident occurs by June 30. The platform’s status page records only brief, resolved minor issues in May and early June—such as API delays and connectivity hiccups—none escalating to the red severity threshold that defines resolution. Traders note similar prior monthly markets closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforcing confidence in Discord’s infrastructure handling routine loads. With three weeks remaining and no announced maintenance risks or widespread user reports of systemic strain, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected outage before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCritical Discord Incident by June 30?
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks underpins the 87.5% market-implied probability that no critical (red) incident occurs by June 30. The platform’s status page records only brief, resolved minor issues in May and early June—such as API delays and connectivity hiccups—none escalating to the red severity threshold that defines resolution. Traders note similar prior monthly markets closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforcing confidence in Discord’s infrastructure handling routine loads. With three weeks remaining and no announced maintenance risks or widespread user reports of systemic strain, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected outage before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,986Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks underpins the 87.5% market-implied probability that no critical (red) incident occurs by June 30. The platform’s status page records only brief, resolved minor issues in May and early June—such as API delays and connectivity hiccups—none escalating to the red severity threshold that defines resolution. Traders note similar prior monthly markets closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforcing confidence in Discord’s infrastructure handling routine loads. With three weeks remaining and no announced maintenance risks or widespread user reports of systemic strain, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected outage before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Обсяг
$1,986Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks underpins the 87.5% market-implied probability that no critical (red) incident occurs by June 30. The platform’s status page records only brief, resolved minor issues in May and early June—such as API delays and connectivity hiccups—none escalating to the red severity threshold that defines resolution. Traders note similar prior monthly markets closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforcing confidence in Discord’s infrastructure handling routine loads. With three weeks remaining and no announced maintenance risks or widespread user reports of systemic strain, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected outage before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання