Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets per day in early August trackers, underpins the market’s tightest odds on the 40–64 and 65–89 buckets for the August 6–8 window. Weekday activity has historically outpaced weekends, yet no major SpaceX, Tesla, or political catalyst has surfaced to push volume into sustained high-60s territory. Traders weigh his pattern of replying to trending topics and sharing quick commentary against quieter stretches when business travel or focus on engineering updates dominates. With the three-day span straddling a Friday-Saturday, momentum hinges on any breaking news cycle that could spike engagement, while historical low-activity periods cap expectations below 40.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
<40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$502 Vol.
15%
40-64
$116 Vol.
42%
65-89
$83 Vol.
34%
90-114
$13 Vol.
10%
115-139
$40 Vol.
2%
140-164
$60 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$0 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$0 Vol.
<1%
240+
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets per day in early August trackers, underpins the market’s tightest odds on the 40–64 and 65–89 buckets for the August 6–8 window. Weekday activity has historically outpaced weekends, yet no major SpaceX, Tesla, or political catalyst has surfaced to push volume into sustained high-60s territory. Traders weigh his pattern of replying to trending topics and sharing quick commentary against quieter stretches when business travel or focus on engineering updates dominates. With the three-day span straddling a Friday-Saturday, momentum hinges on any breaking news cycle that could spike engagement, while historical low-activity periods cap expectations below 40.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,079End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets per day in early August trackers, underpins the market’s tightest odds on the 40–64 and 65–89 buckets for the August 6–8 window. Weekday activity has historically outpaced weekends, yet no major SpaceX, Tesla, or political catalyst has surfaced to push volume into sustained high-60s territory. Traders weigh his pattern of replying to trending topics and sharing quick commentary against quieter stretches when business travel or focus on engineering updates dominates. With the three-day span straddling a Friday-Saturday, momentum hinges on any breaking news cycle that could spike engagement, while historical low-activity periods cap expectations below 40.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,079End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets per day in early August trackers, underpins the market’s tightest odds on the 40–64 and 65–89 buckets for the August 6–8 window. Weekday activity has historically outpaced weekends, yet no major SpaceX, Tesla, or political catalyst has surfaced to push volume into sustained high-60s territory. Traders weigh his pattern of replying to trending topics and sharing quick commentary against quieter stretches when business travel or focus on engineering updates dominates. With the three-day span straddling a Friday-Saturday, momentum hinges on any breaking news cycle that could spike engagement, while historical low-activity periods cap expectations below 40.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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