**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered the biggest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, 2026, then maintained the top spot through August with minimal competition and strong word-of-mouth. By August 31 the film had reached approximately $892 million domestically, placing it squarely in the 800–900 million range after just 31 days of release. Traders priced the outcome at 100% because the record start, 2.48x legs, and consistent daily earnings left no realistic path to any other bucket. An upset would have required an unprecedented collapse in the final weeks—such as catastrophic word-of-mouth or external events halting theater attendance—but the film’s performance trajectory and audience engagement made that scenario virtually impossible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 100.0%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
500 - 600m <1%
$2,228,673 Vol.
$2,228,673 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
No
400 - 500m
No
500 - 600m
No
600 - 700m
No
700 - 800m
No
800 - 900m
Yes
900m+
No
800 - 900m 100.0%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
500 - 600m <1%
$2,228,673 Vol.
$2,228,673 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$53,815 Vol.
No
400 - 500m
$36,670 Vol.
No
500 - 600m
$32,489 Vol.
No
600 - 700m
$46,259 Vol.
No
700 - 800m
$139,846 Vol.
No
800 - 900m
$648,066 Vol.
Yes
900m+
$1,271,527 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered the biggest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, 2026, then maintained the top spot through August with minimal competition and strong word-of-mouth. By August 31 the film had reached approximately $892 million domestically, placing it squarely in the 800–900 million range after just 31 days of release. Traders priced the outcome at 100% because the record start, 2.48x legs, and consistent daily earnings left no realistic path to any other bucket. An upset would have required an unprecedented collapse in the final weeks—such as catastrophic word-of-mouth or external events halting theater attendance—but the film’s performance trajectory and audience engagement made that scenario virtually impossible.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$2,228,673End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered the biggest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, 2026, then maintained the top spot through August with minimal competition and strong word-of-mouth. By August 31 the film had reached approximately $892 million domestically, placing it squarely in the 800–900 million range after just 31 days of release. Traders priced the outcome at 100% because the record start, 2.48x legs, and consistent daily earnings left no realistic path to any other bucket. An upset would have required an unprecedented collapse in the final weeks—such as catastrophic word-of-mouth or external events halting theater attendance—but the film’s performance trajectory and audience engagement made that scenario virtually impossible.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,228,673End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered the biggest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, 2026, then maintained the top spot through August with minimal competition and strong word-of-mouth. By August 31 the film had reached approximately $892 million domestically, placing it squarely in the 800–900 million range after just 31 days of release. Traders priced the outcome at 100% because the record start, 2.48x legs, and consistent daily earnings left no realistic path to any other bucket. An upset would have required an unprecedented collapse in the final weeks—such as catastrophic word-of-mouth or external events halting theater attendance—but the film’s performance trajectory and audience engagement made that scenario virtually impossible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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