Skip to main content
icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 77%

“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.7%

“Saturday Night Live” 4.2%

“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.6%

Polymarket

$89,409 Vol.

“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 77%

“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.7%

“Saturday Night Live” 4.2%

“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.6%

Polymarket

$89,409 Vol.

“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”

$30,749 Vol.

77%

“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”

$16,764 Vol.

6%

“Saturday Night Live”

$10,086 Vol.

4%

“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”

$21,268 Vol.

4%

“The Daily Show”

$10,542 Vol.

3%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by its final-season narrative after cancellation in May 2026 and its 2025 win in the prior talk series format. The five nominees—Colbert, Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show—were confirmed in July nominations, with the Television Academy restructuring the award as an “area” category judged on individual merit. This setup rewards consistent output and legacy, positioning Colbert’s extensive run and guild recognition ahead of competitors. Final-round voting concludes shortly before the September 14 ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts from other programs.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$89,409
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by its final-season narrative after cancellation in May 2026 and its 2025 win in the prior talk series format. The five nominees—Colbert, Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show—were confirmed in July nominations, with the Television Academy restructuring the award as an “area” category judged on individual merit. This setup rewards consistent output and legacy, positioning Colbert’s extensive run and guild recognition ahead of competitors. Final-round voting concludes shortly before the September 14 ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts from other programs.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$89,409
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?

Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?

83%
icon for Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?

Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?

56%
icon for Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?

Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”" at 77%, followed by "“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series" has generated $89.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series" is "“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.