Katherine LaNasa holds the strongest position in the Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series market at 67% implied probability, driven by her status as the 2025 defending winner for her role as charge nurse Dana Evans on the HBO Max medical drama *The Pitt*. The show's dominant 2026 campaign, including 25 total nominations and strong critical reception for its sophomore season, bolsters her frontrunner narrative, though four *The Pitt* nominees in the category risk splitting votes among LaNasa, Sepideh Moafi, Taylor Dearden, and Fiona Dourif. Moafi’s 16.9% reflects her historic first nomination as the first Iranian and Middle Eastern woman recognized here, plus breakout buzz for her season-two character. Smaller shares for Karolina Wydra, Allison Janney, and Julianne Nicholson align with *The Pitt*’s overall momentum heading into the September ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” 67%
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” 16.9%
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” 7.5%
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 4.8%
$53,268 Vol.
$53,268 Vol.
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”
67%
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt”
17%
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”
8%
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat”
5%
Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise”
4%
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt”
2%
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt”
2%
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” 67%
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” 16.9%
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” 7.5%
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 4.8%
$53,268 Vol.
$53,268 Vol.
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”
67%
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt”
17%
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”
8%
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat”
5%
Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise”
4%
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt”
2%
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Katherine LaNasa holds the strongest position in the Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series market at 67% implied probability, driven by her status as the 2025 defending winner for her role as charge nurse Dana Evans on the HBO Max medical drama *The Pitt*. The show's dominant 2026 campaign, including 25 total nominations and strong critical reception for its sophomore season, bolsters her frontrunner narrative, though four *The Pitt* nominees in the category risk splitting votes among LaNasa, Sepideh Moafi, Taylor Dearden, and Fiona Dourif. Moafi’s 16.9% reflects her historic first nomination as the first Iranian and Middle Eastern woman recognized here, plus breakout buzz for her season-two character. Smaller shares for Karolina Wydra, Allison Janney, and Julianne Nicholson align with *The Pitt*’s overall momentum heading into the September ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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