Recent Emmy nominations have intensified competition in the supporting actor drama category, with “The Pitt” securing three slots for Patrick Ball, Shawn Hatosy, and Gerran Howell amid the show’s dominant critical and guild buzz. Billy Crudup brings proven frontrunner momentum from his prior win on “The Morning Show,” while Jack Lowden’s consistent “Slow Horses” acclaim, Tom Pelphrey’s “Task” breakout, and Carlos-Manuel Vesga’s “Pluribus” recognition create a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects vote-splitting risks among “The Pitt” contenders and the absence of decisive precursor results this early, with the September ceremony and any late-season surges poised to shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus” 50%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 50%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 50%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 49%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
50%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
50%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
50%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
49%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
48%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
48%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
48%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus” 50%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 50%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 50%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 49%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
50%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
50%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
50%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
49%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
48%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
48%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
48%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Emmy nominations have intensified competition in the supporting actor drama category, with “The Pitt” securing three slots for Patrick Ball, Shawn Hatosy, and Gerran Howell amid the show’s dominant critical and guild buzz. Billy Crudup brings proven frontrunner momentum from his prior win on “The Morning Show,” while Jack Lowden’s consistent “Slow Horses” acclaim, Tom Pelphrey’s “Task” breakout, and Carlos-Manuel Vesga’s “Pluribus” recognition create a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects vote-splitting risks among “The Pitt” contenders and the absence of decisive precursor results this early, with the September ceremony and any late-season surges poised to shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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