**Network evening news programs continue to anchor trader expectations for the week of August 24-30, with ABC World News Tonight and NBC Nightly News episodes posting P2+ averages in the 7–9 million range during the prior Nielsen-tracked period.** A relatively quiet linear schedule—lacking major sports finales or tentpole premieres—has kept the race tight among established broadcast leaders, producing the market’s clustered probabilities around 8–9.5 million viewers for the top program. Historical patterns show late-summer weeks typically favor nightly news over entertainment fare unless a breakout event emerges, while streaming titles such as Bluey or Reacher register strong minutes but resolve separately from this linear chart. With Nielsen’s first official estimate due shortly after the period closes, the narrow spread between the 8.5–9 million and 9–9.5 million brackets reflects traders’ assessment of steady news performance versus any potential late-week variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 24-30)
# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 24-30)
7m–7.5m 24.4%
8m–8.5m 23%
9m–9.5m 20%
<7m 15.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
<7m
16%
7m–7.5m
24%
7.5m–8m
3%
8m–8.5m
23%
8.5m–9m
29%
9m–9.5m
26%
9.5m–10m
3%
10m+
3%
7m–7.5m 24.4%
8m–8.5m 23%
9m–9.5m 20%
<7m 15.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
<7m
$876 Vol.
16%
7m–7.5m
$37 Vol.
24%
7.5m–8m
$70 Vol.
3%
8m–8.5m
$242 Vol.
23%
8.5m–9m
$1,331 Vol.
29%
9m–9.5m
$174 Vol.
26%
9.5m–10m
$53 Vol.
3%
10m+
$43 Vol.
3%
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).**Network evening news programs continue to anchor trader expectations for the week of August 24-30, with ABC World News Tonight and NBC Nightly News episodes posting P2+ averages in the 7–9 million range during the prior Nielsen-tracked period.** A relatively quiet linear schedule—lacking major sports finales or tentpole premieres—has kept the race tight among established broadcast leaders, producing the market’s clustered probabilities around 8–9.5 million viewers for the top program. Historical patterns show late-summer weeks typically favor nightly news over entertainment fare unless a breakout event emerges, while streaming titles such as Bluey or Reacher register strong minutes but resolve separately from this linear chart. With Nielsen’s first official estimate due shortly after the period closes, the narrow spread between the 8.5–9 million and 9–9.5 million brackets reflects traders’ assessment of steady news performance versus any potential late-week variance.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,827End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).**Network evening news programs continue to anchor trader expectations for the week of August 24-30, with ABC World News Tonight and NBC Nightly News episodes posting P2+ averages in the 7–9 million range during the prior Nielsen-tracked period.** A relatively quiet linear schedule—lacking major sports finales or tentpole premieres—has kept the race tight among established broadcast leaders, producing the market’s clustered probabilities around 8–9.5 million viewers for the top program. Historical patterns show late-summer weeks typically favor nightly news over entertainment fare unless a breakout event emerges, while streaming titles such as Bluey or Reacher register strong minutes but resolve separately from this linear chart. With Nielsen’s first official estimate due shortly after the period closes, the narrow spread between the 8.5–9 million and 9–9.5 million brackets reflects traders’ assessment of steady news performance versus any potential late-week variance.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Volume
$2,827End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Network evening news programs continue to anchor trader expectations for the week of August 24-30, with ABC World News Tonight and NBC Nightly News episodes posting P2+ averages in the 7–9 million range during the prior Nielsen-tracked period.** A relatively quiet linear schedule—lacking major sports finales or tentpole premieres—has kept the race tight among established broadcast leaders, producing the market’s clustered probabilities around 8–9.5 million viewers for the top program. Historical patterns show late-summer weeks typically favor nightly news over entertainment fare unless a breakout event emerges, while streaming titles such as Bluey or Reacher register strong minutes but resolve separately from this linear chart. With Nielsen’s first official estimate due shortly after the period closes, the narrow spread between the 8.5–9 million and 9–9.5 million brackets reflects traders’ assessment of steady news performance versus any potential late-week variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the most viewed episode of The Five for the week of August 24 - August 30 have between 3.5 million and 3.75 million viewers?
30%
Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 24 - August 30 have between 8.5 million and 9 million viewers?
59%
Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 24 - August 30 have between 3 million and 3.25 million viewers?
37%
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Frequently Asked Questions