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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 74%

Richard Gadd – “Half Man” 50%

Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” 50%

Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 50%

Polymarket
NEW

David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 74%

Richard Gadd – “Half Man” 50%

Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” 50%

Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 50%

Polymarket
NEW

David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”

$47 Vol.

74%

Richard Gadd – “Half Man”

$0 Vol.

50%

Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”

$0 Vol.

50%

Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning”

$9 Vol.

50%

Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis”

$10 Vol.

49%

Charles Melton – “Beef”

$47 Vol.

22%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The just-announced 2026 Emmy nominations have created a tightly contested field for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie, with six performers locked in near parity. DTF St. Louis dominates with three nominees—Jason Bateman, David Harbour, and Richard Jenkins—whose performances in the darkly comedic HBO Max miniseries about a middle-aged love triangle and murder have drawn strong critical praise, though vote-splitting among castmates could dilute momentum. Richard Gadd brings prestige from Half Man following his prior Baby Reindeer success, while Charles Melton’s turn in Netflix’s Beef and Nick Offerman’s historical role in Death by Lightning offer distinct critical and guild appeal. Industry narrative favors established names and recent reviews, but the absence of clear precursor dominance leaves room for any nominee to surge based on final voting sentiment and campaign focus ahead of the ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The just-announced 2026 Emmy nominations have created a tightly contested field for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie, with six performers locked in near parity. DTF St. Louis dominates with three nominees—Jason Bateman, David Harbour, and Richard Jenkins—whose performances in the darkly comedic HBO Max miniseries about a middle-aged love triangle and murder have drawn strong critical praise, though vote-splitting among castmates could dilute momentum. Richard Gadd brings prestige from Half Man following his prior Baby Reindeer success, while Charles Melton’s turn in Netflix’s Beef and Nick Offerman’s historical role in Death by Lightning offer distinct critical and guild appeal. Industry narrative favors established names and recent reviews, but the absence of clear precursor dominance leaves room for any nominee to surge based on final voting sentiment and campaign focus ahead of the ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”" at 56%, followed by "Richard Gadd – “Half Man”" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" is "David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Gadd – “Half Man”" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.